While fuel cell stocks have done little to create shareholder wealth thus far, it may finally be time to reconsider the industry. Solar energy has historically been the darling of the elusively successful alternative energy sector, though it has seldom provided long returns. Case in point, the overoptimistic 2007 year saw shares of top solar stocks soar to $30 and above only to return to a fraction of these share prices shortly. The economic onslaught of the years following plus premature optimism in a growing technology has deteriorated the value in solar and many other green industries today.
Whereas economical growth's complexity is not always linear, scientific progress in technology seldom regresses. Now is possibly the time to investigate some good opportunities in both solar and fuel cell energy for 2012 and beyond. A diversified green portfolio should consist of solar, which has seen a return of confidence, and fuel cells which are viable especially in industrial applications in which excess hydrogen byproducts can be tapped for cheap if not free energy.
Why consider fuel cells today? The industry is lighter on debt and appears to have learned from the oversupply in the solar sector of 2007. Fuel cells have not seen a stellar year since early 2000 and have been largely forgotten, making them more a risk but offering a large upside. Industrial targets offer fuel cell companies consumers which already produce hydrogen fuel an option to make a waste product useful. There are also many types of fuel cells offering many options for a diversified portfolio.
Despite lack of follow through to increasingly promising technology and sales, Ballard Power (BLDP) may provide a very exciting update on February 23rd and is one to keep an eye on. Though Ballard's Q4 EBITDA positive quarter may be pushed back into 2012, there is no reason yet to believe that they could not reach their goal of providing four consecutive quarters of positive EBITDA in 2012. FuelCell Energy (FCEL) is another small company that has seen a large increase in 2012.